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Oracle's crystal ball says blue wave from top to bottom in Nevada, with one Flippo exception
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Source: The Nevada Independent

Let me begin as I always do, by whining and bragging. I have been doing these Sunday-before-the-election predictions since early in the new millennium. And they never get easier because in Nevada, there are always close races at the top. It's one thing to have a data-driven blog where you can show readers trends that are developing in a state where most of the vote is in before Election Day. It's quite another to extrapolate from those trends, especially in a state where nonpartisan voters have exploded. Message: It's hard. Cut me some slack. (This is the whining.) Actually, I don't need much slack. Since I began, I have about a 90 percent accuracy rate in major races, including calling close Senate contests in 2010 and 2012, Senate and governor's races in 2018 and two excruciating close contests for governor and Senate in 2022. My downballot record, while it has some intermittent misses, also is pretty robust.
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Read the original at The Nevada Independent



